
Just a month into the season, and already the pessimists (and really who can blame them if they're Cubs fans) among us are calling 2009 a bust. And there are clearly some reasons to worry, the lineup and bullpen need improvement for one. I thought I would offer a cautiously optimistic appraisal of the Cubs situation before anyone starts hangs a dead goat carcass on Harry Caray's statue. Oh wait.
That happened already?

Reasons to Panic:
1.
Lee,
Soto and
BradleyThese three should be the heart of a fearsome Chicago lineup, one that, if you recall, led the league in runs last season. Instead, they are hitting respectively .205, .143, and .128 with a combined 15 RBIs. For comparison,
Jason Kubel has 16 by himself. You might be asking yourself, who is Jason Kubel? Exactly.
2. The Bullpen
Out of every member of the bullpen, only
Angel Guzman has a WHIP under 1.50.
Neal Cotts, the supposed LOOGEY, has a monstrous 2.50 WHIP to go with a 4.50 ERA and a 0-1 record. By the way, Cotts has a higher career opponent OPS by 3 points against lefties than against right handers. And he has actually thrown to more RHBs than LHBs, so don't blame the sample size. The two most important members of this bullpen have also struggled mightily.
Marmol has a 5.40 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP.
Gregg, who only has two saves, has a 5.91 ERA and a putrid 1.97 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Cubs decided to discard
Luis Vizcaino who had given up 0 runs in 4 appearances,
Chad Gaudin who has thrown five scoreless for San Diego, and
Michael Wuertz who has been quite solid with a 2.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP for the A's.
3.
HardenSo far he has thrown three really good games, and two really really bad ones, in which he hasn't lasted four innings. He currently sports a 5.11 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP, both much higher than they should be for the normally dominant right hander.

4.
Miles and
GathrightThey suck.
5. We're the Cubs
Reasons to Calm Down
1.
Soriano,
Theriot, and
FukudomeThose three have been awesome so far. Theriot has even turned into a power hitter, wacking two big ones in the last two games, including a possibly season-saving grand slam. If these three continue on this pace, they will all have the best sesasons of their careers
2. The rotation has been solid
If I understand the quality start statistic correctly (?) then the rotation has a combined thirteen quality starts through 23 games.

3. Hoff-power!
Put a bat in that man's hands and watch him hit. And maybe he can even play in right field? He did pretty well there today.
4. It's only May
I recall two years ago, the Cubs had an even more lethargic start and still managed to win the division. Plus, there have been a slew of injuries to the likes of
Ramirez, Soto, Bradley, Lee, and Marmol that have quite possibly effected the team's performance.
One Suggestion, Lou:
Why not drop Cotts, put
Marshall in the bullpen and make
Samardzijia the fifth starter? Sure, Marshall may be no more of a LOOGEY than Cotts, but if you insist on playing the matchups (despite how retarded of an idea that really is), you might as well have the pitcher who doesn't walk every other hitter. Plus, Sharky is going to be in the rotation eventually, and he seems somewhat wasted as a middle reliever. Just my two cents (or is that three?).